Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.997405 4.635553 5.310000 6.072739 6.908173 7.792340 8.795716
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.977348 3.841410 4.818900 5.993132 7.351982 8.862212 10.654544
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.300354 3.288410 4.479211 5.987897 7.816396 9.930351 12.527980
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.782139 2.822292 4.155065 5.928442 8.167283 10.844104 14.229361
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.517622 2.627816 4.126027 6.200260 8.903800 12.219745 16.503614
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.235846 2.354644 3.948178 6.243709 9.329601 13.206871 18.315821
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.091509 2.254491 3.986031 6.559997 10.103542 14.637491 20.699831
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.955443 2.140908 3.984584 6.808524 10.783259 15.954099 22.959884
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.810550 1.984723 3.897262 6.918132 11.265592 17.014777 24.904915
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.656178 1.780117 3.708249 6.856847 11.495855 17.735957 26.413494
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.562353 1.669303 3.654074 6.985351 11.987350 18.807240 28.389576
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.484323 1.573222 3.611369 7.122055 12.486711 19.891885 30.394321
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.377289 1.391655 3.404845 6.993031 12.601526 20.465624 31.750783
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.285193 1.215958 3.185220 6.823136 12.642448 20.931862 32.967139
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.223003 1.093923 3.048814 6.777082 12.861931 21.647220 34.529034
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.169368 0.973791 2.898432 6.692547 13.012519 22.261249 35.955973
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.151506 0.957888 2.959227 6.977949 13.747210 23.726016 38.579599
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.120565 0.884403 2.887600 7.020110 14.093983 24.631083 40.432996
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.110802 0.885107 2.978518 7.360378 14.925469 26.256276 43.314860
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.098217 0.869413 3.029885 7.628114 15.644110 27.724755 45.991995
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.080531 0.822621 3.003018 7.746028 16.118710 28.837389 48.177096
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.059098 0.742238 2.884059 7.679430 16.283531 29.487786 49.709610
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.048155 0.707440 2.872623 7.818230 16.791111 30.656649 51.993266